What does confidence mean in a personal result?
Confidence here means how cautiously to treat a pattern, based on the amount and consistency of your own records.
Review days recorded, days practised and variation. Repeat a promising experiment in a later round.
Open my labWhat to notice
A stable pattern across more observations is more useful than one peak.
Record a 1–10 daily rating and whether you tried the activity. A missed day is useful context; it does not erase the rest of your week. At the first checkpoint, you can continue for seven or fourteen days, or choose something else.
How to interpret your result
This is descriptive confidence, not a statistical confidence interval or proof of cause.
Keep your original prediction separate from the daily ratings. Your starting rating, number of observations and changing circumstances all matter. A personal week can reveal a pattern worth exploring, but it cannot establish cause or statistical significance.
Evidence and context
This guide describes a small personal practice. For the wider research context, see Well-being-focused interventions: network meta-analysis of randomized trials. Research findings describe groups and study conditions; your lab records describe your own experience.